Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 170256
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
856 PM CST Fri Feb 16 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171200-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
856 PM CST Fri Feb 16 2018

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas, as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma into West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered light rain showers will continue to spread eastward
across Southeast Oklahoma and into West Central Arkansas this
evening. The precipitation will expand northward into Northeast
Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas overnight. Rainfall amounts will
range from around a quarter of an inch or less across Northeast
Oklahoma, with heavier amounts near three quarters of an inch
across Southeast Oklahoma into West Central Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY...Very High Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Very High Fire Weather
Potential...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Winter Weather Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Winter Weather Potential.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Gusty southerly winds return Sunday and continue into Monday
ahead of a low pressure system and cold front forecast to move
into the region Monday and Tuesday. These winds, combined with
ongoing dry conditions, will increase fire weather concerns. Rain
and thunderstorm chances also increase Sunday through Tuesday
with the approaching storm system, with the greatest potential
Monday night and Tuesday as a cold front moves through the
region. There remains some uncertainty with the timing of the
colder air Tuesday. Depending on the timing of the exiting
precipitation, and the arrival of the cold air, there could be a
window for light wintry precipitation Tuesday night into
Wednesday. Continue to monitor latest forecasts for updates.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$


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