Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 281751 CCA
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1251 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1251 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT AS THE
STORMS MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH DAYBREAK.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS FRIDAY MORNING. STORMS WILL DEVELOP LATER IN THE DAY TO OUR
WEST AND WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE SEVERITY AND TYPE OF SEVERE WEATHER THAT OCCURS WITH THESE
STORMS WILL DEPEND ON HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM FRONT RETREATS. LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE
FRONT...WHILE TORNADOES...HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY. AT THIS TIME...EAST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS

IF THE WARM FRONT SETS UP NEAR THE RED RIVER ON FRIDAY...THE SETUP
WOULD FAVOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE
POSSIBLE.

SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY BUT WILL DIMINISH
FROM WEST TO EAST LATER IN THE DAY AS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT SWEEPS
ACROSS THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY



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