000
FLUS44 KTSA 141804
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
104 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-150615-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
104 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WERE
COMMON ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS
UP AROUND 25 MPH ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THIS LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EJECT OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
TONIGHT WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
LATE TONIGHT. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT...ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH SMALL
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. OTHERWISE...GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL REMAIN IN
THE 20 TO 25 MPH RANGE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS A SERIES
OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES ALOFT MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY. MODERATE INSTABILITY...COUPLED WITH STRENGTHENING WIND
FIELDS ALOFT SUGGEST AN INCREASING THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS.
TIMING...INCLUDING ANY SPECIFIC SEVERE WEATHER THREATS...WILL
CONTINUE TO BE REFINED IN THE UPCOMING DAYS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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