Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 202156
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
456 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
456 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
TONIGHT THEN INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE MONDAY. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EAST AND BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS...WITH MORE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE FAVORING AREAS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40. LIMITED MOISTURE AND WEAK WIND FIELDS WILL KEEP
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO FORM FROM BECOMING SEVERE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM CLEARS OUR AREA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN UNLIKELY.

AFTER A FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND BRINGS DRIER AIR IN BY TUESDAY...THE
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE SUPPORTIVE OF THUNDERSTORMS
BEGINNING AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH A POTENTIALLY MORE
SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER BY THEN.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
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