Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 161751
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1251 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1251 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Along and west of highway 75.
ONSET...After midnight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...

There is a low risk of very large hail and damaging winds early
this evening for Osage and Pawnee counties. A limited risk of
severe winds exists along and west of highway 75 after midnight
tonight.

Supercells are expected to develop near the Oklahoma and Texas
panhandle border region this afternoon. These storms will lift
northeast thru the afternoon and into the evening. It is not out
of the question that an isolated storm could come close or
possibly move into Osage or Pawnee counties early this evening. If
this occurs, very large hail and damaging winds would be the
primary hazards.

A line of storms is expected to organize to our west tonight and
move into eastern Oklahoma by early Wednesday morning. Damaging
straight line winds would be the primary threat, mainly along and
west of highway 75. Storms should weaken as they move east of
there toward daybreak.

South winds will gust between 25 and 40 mph this afternoon across
eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

There is a low chance of storms ahead of the Pacific front on
Wednesday mainly over in western Arkansas. South to southwest
winds will gust in the 25 to 35 mph range.

The next storm system will begin to affect the region Thursday
night and will continue thru Saturday night. Multiple rounds of
storms will bring severe weather and heavy rains which could lead
to more flooding.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Lacy



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