Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49

000
FLUS44 KTSA 121051
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
451 AM CST THU JAN 12 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
451 AM CST THU JAN 12 2017

...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY PARTS
OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
    RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

WINTER WEATHER.
ICE ACCUMULATION.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
           AND A SMALL PART OF FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS TODAY. A FEW
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE LARGER AREA OF
RAINFALL ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE RAIN WILL EXPAND NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT...REACHING AREAS NEAR
THE KANSAS AND MISSOURI BORDERS AS EARLY AS SUNRISE FRIDAY
MORNING. WITH MUCH OF THE AREA ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE
44 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS WELL AS SOME PARTS OF FAR NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LIKELY TO BE BELOW FREEZING...ACCUMULATING FREEZING RAIN
WILL OCCUR IN THESE AREAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ACCUMULATING FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FRIDAY MORNING.
SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH THE DAY...WITH THE ENTIRE
AREA...EXCEPT FOR LOCATIONS NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44...EXPECTED
TO WARM ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL AT LEAST DIMINISH THE FREEZING
RAIN THREAT FOR AREAS ALONG INTERSTATE 44 AND IN FAR NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH IT IS POSSIBLE THAT RAIN
MAY AGAIN TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN ALONG THE INTERSTATE FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

AREAS NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 CONTINUE TO HAVE THE BEST CHANCE
OF SEEING SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS FROM EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH ACCUMULATIONS FROM A QUARTER TO
THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH. LOCATIONS JUST TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF
THERE MAY SEE TOTALS UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH...DEPENDING ON THE
EVOLUTION OF THE FREEZING LINE.

WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL MAKE A RAPID RETURN TO THE AREA DURING THE
DAY SUNDAY...WHICH WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. A FEW
MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
PERHAPS INTO MONDAY AS WELL. WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL
ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY
OCCUR IN A FEW AREAS.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS REMAINS HIGH
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY. BOTH SHORTER AND LONGER LEAD TIME PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
UNDERWAY...AND READIED TO COMPLETION. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
FORECASTS AND EVALUATE FORECAST TRENDS.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.