Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FLUS44 KTSA 182136
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
536 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
536 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT THAT IS MOVING INTO THE AREA. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS
COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF SURFACE HEATING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS
AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES EAST FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE
PLAINS. THERE MAY BE A BRIEF LULL IN STORM COVERAGE THURSDAY
BEFORE CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN BY THE WEEKEND AS A STRONGER UPPER
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA. SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES
WILL BE HIGHEST OVER THE WEEKEND...AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT
IN FLOODING CONCERNS GIVEN THE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN THAT HAS
FALLEN RECENTLY IN SOME LOCATIONS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$








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