Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 031755
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1255 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-040945-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1255 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

DISCUSSION... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...IN THE VICINITY OF A LINGERING WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR AS WELL...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME FLASH
FLOODING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD WEAKEN LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS NORTHWEST
FLOW REMAINS ALOFT. MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
ARRIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
WESTERLY AND A FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
WILL BE INCREASED WITH THE EARLY WEEK STORMS. A GENERAL DRYING
TREND WILL OCCUR TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING RETURNS TO THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$


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