Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FLUS44 KTSA 291011
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
511 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
511 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...FLOODING THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...LOCALLY THIS MORNING...LARGER THREAT TONIGHT.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS ARE FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FLOODING IS LIKELY. AREAL FLOODING NEAR THE MAIN STEM RIVERS
AND LAKES WILL CONTINUE AS WELL. THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL
REMAIN LIMITED DUE TO WEAKER WINDS ALOFT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY THRU THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

A QUIETER UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS
OVERALL COMPARED TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED DURING THE MONTH OF MAY.
ONLY LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE IN THE FORECAST THROUGH NEXT
WEEK. AREAL FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE HOWEVER...ESPECIALLY
NEAR LAKES WHICH ARE NEAR OR OVER FULL CAPACITY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY



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