Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 200943
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
443 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-210945-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
443 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

...FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL CONTINUES THROUGH THIS MORNING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS
PARTS OF FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND INTO WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING. HEAVY RAIN AND
FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN...WITH A WIDESPREAD 3 TO 6
INCHES OF RAIN HAVING ALREADY FALLEN SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. MORE
SCATTERED ACTIVITY IS ALSO ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...BUT SHOULD NOT POSE A FLOODING RISK. THE RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL SHOULD BE GONE BY THIS AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH
ANY FLOODING IMPACTS MAY PERSIST PAST THIS MORNING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A BRIEF LULL IN THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL OCCUR
THURSDAY...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OCCUPIES THE REGION. WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN AFFECT EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS FROM FRIDAY...THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH SEVERAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM EPISODES
LIKELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME. HEAVY RAIN...FLASH FLOOD...AND
MAIN STEM RIVER FLOOD IMPACTS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
CONCERN...ALTHOUGH SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL MAY ALSO
INCREASE...ESPECIALLY LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
OTHER INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD WATCH FUTURE FORECASTS AND
STATEMENTS CLOSELY AND PREPARE FOR MORE FLOODING AND POSSIBLE
SEVERE WEATHER IMPACTS OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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