Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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159
FLUS44 KTSA 151815
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
115 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
115 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE SOME WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND
AGAIN LATE TONIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO FORM MAY BE
CAPABLE OF A GUST TO AROUND 40 MILES AN HOUR.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH
FLOOD POTENTIAL...WILL BE ON THE INCREASE LATE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP WELL TO
OUR WEST ALONG THE DRYLINE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND PROGRESS
EAST ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY
NIGHT. TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO RESULT
IN BOTH FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING. STORM CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS.

AFTER A SHORT LULL IN STORM CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK...WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY AGAIN BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
FLASH FLOOD AND RIVER FLOOD POTENTIAL AS WELL AS SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL INCREASES THIS WEEKEND WITH THE GREATER CHANCES SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS COULD HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE MANY OUTDOOR
WEEKEND EVENTS THEREFORE DECISION MAKERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS AS DETAILS CONTINUE TO BE REFINED.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$






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