Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FLUS44 KTSA 101900
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CST MON JAN 9 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101145-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CST MON JAN 9 2017

...SIGNIFICANT ICING POTENTIAL BY LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING...DIMINISHING BY LATE AFTERNOON.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED TO NEAR ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
BREEZY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 TO 35
MPH...WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF
FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE STRONG WINDS AND
AMBIENT DRY AND CURED VEGETATION FROM THE ONGOING DROUGHT WILL
YIELD A LIMITED TO NEAR ELEVATED FIRE SPREAD DANGER THROUGH EARLY
EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN
WEDNESDAY...WITH A VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER THREAT DEVELOPING AS
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S FOR MOST AREAS.

SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING
REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS A
SLOW MOVING...STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IMPACTS OKLAHOMA AND
ARKANSAS IN THE PRESENCE OF A SHALLOW COLD AIRMASS. PARTS OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO THE NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 CONTINUE TO
BE THE MOST LIKELY LOCATIONS TO SEE SIGNIFICANT ICE
ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH ACCUMULATION
POTENTIAL JUST SOUTH AND EAST DEPENDENT ON WHERE THE FREEZING LINE
EVENTUALLY SETS UP. GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS COULD
EXACERBATE THE POWER OUTAGE POTENTIAL RESULTING FROM ICE
ACCUMULATION.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
STORM TOTALS LIKELY...WILL AFFECT EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN EXACTLY
WHERE THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINS WILL DEVELOP. DESPITE THE
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS...AMOUNTS OF THIS NATURE COULD LEAD TO
BOTH RIVER AND AREAL FLOODING. IT IS ALSO NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION
THAT FLASH FLOODING COULD OCCUR...ESPECIALLY IN CONJUNCTION WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
THERE IS FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL AFFECT AREAS IN OR VERY NEAR PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
THERE IS ALSO HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING WILL
AFFECT PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. CONSIDER
BEGINNING LONGER DURATION PREPARATIONS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
FUTURE FORECASTS AND EVALUATE FORECAST TRENDS PRIOR TO BEGINNING
SHORTER DURATION PREPARATIONS.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.