Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 121810
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
109 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
109 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
ALTHOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL NOT BE EXTREMELY LOW THIS
AFTERNOON...STRONG GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AND TEMPERATURES NEAR
OR ABOVE 80 DEGREES WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED WILDFIRE DANGER.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER
POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT
BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND A FEW OF THESE COULD BE STRONG TO
MARGINALLY SEVERE. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO WILL BE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN SOUTHEAST
KANSAS INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...WITH THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING IN
COVERAGE BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE DRYLINE AND COLD FRONT SWEEPS EAST. WHILE
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL COME FROM LARGE AND DAMAGING HAIL. THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL DIMINISH LATER SUNDAY NIGHT OVERNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT
MOVES EAST.

THE STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER WEATHER TO THE ENTIRE
AREA FOR MONDAY. A LIGHT FREEZE APPEARS LIKELY TUESDAY MORNING FOR
PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN DURING THE WEEK
WITH INTERMITTENTLY WINDY CONDITIONS AND A DRY AIRMASS LINGERING
ACROSS THE REGION.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ACTIVATION
SUNDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
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