000
FLUS44 KTSA 172153
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
453 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
452 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
A VERY TROPICAL-LIKE AIRMASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVENING. THERE IS A LAYER OF SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DENSER AIR AT THE
SURFACE WITH VERY MOIST AIR ALOFT. THIS AIRMASS IS PRODUCING
NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ONLY OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING... AND IS NOT VERY
SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE STORMS... ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED STRONG TO
SEVERE STORM CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT. HOWEVER... IN KEEPING
WITH THE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS... HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE. LOW TOPPED CELLS THAT LOOK FAIRLY INNOCUOUS ON RADAR
HAVE BEEN PRODUCING HEAVY... ALBEIT BRIEF DOWNPOURS ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND MAY
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS NEAR THE RED RIVER ON
TUESDAY...BEFORE RETURNING BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY THE
WEEKEND.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$