Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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318
FLUS44 KTSA 261009
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
509 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
509 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...MAINLY EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE MORNING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE AREA TODAY. AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO
SPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO PARTS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...PERHAPS AS EARLY AS LATE MORNING. ALSO...AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER KANSAS AND MISSOURI EARLY THIS
MORNING MAY MOVE INTO FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS AND PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP TODAY WILL POSE A RISK OF
VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. ISOLATED
TORNADOES MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL STORMS
ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE DRY LINE WELL TO OUR WEST...AND THESE
STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS TONIGHT WITH A CONTINUED THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY
WITH MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. THIS WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED
THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY...ALONG WITH A MORE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN THREAT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR REMAIN IN PLACE.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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