Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 242001
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
301 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251045-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
301 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015


...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING REMAINS ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA TODAY. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN SINCE MIDNIGHT MUCH
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
AFOREMENTIONED AREA. THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF
HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT AREAS TO THE
EAST...MAINLY INCLUDING FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

CONDITIONS REMAIN SUPPORTIVE FOR RAPID ONSET OF FLASH FLOODING AND
QUICK ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN WHEN FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT.

ADDITIONALLY...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND WILL CARRY A
LIMITED LIMITED TORNADO THREAT. THE SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY
RAINFALL THREAT WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH TONIGHT...HOWEVER EXTENSIVE
AREAL AND MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO
MONDAY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF EARLY MONDAY...HOWEVER A
LARGE COMPLEX OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS
AND TRACK INTO FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN
ARKANSAS MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACROSS THESE AREAS WILL LIKELY WILL QUICKLY
WORSEN ANY ONGOING FLOOD PROBLEMS.

DAY TO DAY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE MAINTAINED FOR MUCH OF
THIS UPCOMING WEEK. COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF EXPECTED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL BE FURTHER REFINED IN LATER FORECASTS.

WITH LITTLE DAY TO DAY RECOVERY ANTICIPATED WITH THE LARGE STEM
RIVERS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...ANY
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THAT OCCURS DURING THE WEEK IN THE BASINS
MOST AT RISK WILL PROLONG FLOOD ISSUES IN THOSE AREAS.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
RESPONSE TO FLOODING...SOME SIGNIFICANT...SHOULD BE EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS NEAR LARGER RIVER BASINS.
LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING WILL MOST LIKELY WITHIN THE HEAVIER
RAINFALL AXIS.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





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