Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 212305
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
505 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221130-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
505 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018


...Tornado Watch for Western Arkansas and parts of Eastern Oklahoma...


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA....Along and east of a line from the northwest tip of
            Arkansas to just of Hugo, Oklahoma.
ONSET...Now through 1am.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Along and east of a line from Miami, Oklahoma to near
           Durant, Oklahoma.
ONSET...Now through 1am.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Along and east of a line from Miami, Oklahoma to near
           Durant, Oklahoma.
ONSET...Now through 1am.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mainly west of a Highway 75 in eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...Now through 10pm.


DISCUSSION...
There is some potential for an isolated tornado this evening in
western Arkansas and parts of eastern Oklahoma as thunderstorms
continue to increase and winds aloft become more favorable for
storms.  There is also the risk for a few damaging winds gusts
and isolated reports of hail near quarter size.  The greatest
tornado potential, albeit limited, is expected to be along and
east of a line from Hugo to Fort Smith to Green Forest.  The storms
will shift east and out of the area near or a little after
Midnight.

While storm motions will be fast, training of storms across
the same locations could result in locally excessive rainfall
with some risk of flooding.

Drier air coming in from the west with gusty winds will promote
some enhancement of fire spread in eastern Oklahoma this evening
behind the storms.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Limited Fire Weather Potential.
TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Gusty winds behind the cold front will result in some enhancement
of the fire spread potential tomorrow in eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas.  The higher potential is likely to be in
southeast Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas.

The next weather system to approach the region could result in
some thunderstorm activity on Friday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$


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