Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 181103
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
503 AM CST Sat Feb 18 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
503 AM CST Sat Feb 18 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Southeast Oklahoma into West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...ongoing...ending by mid morning.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms over far Southeast Oklahoma early this
morning will move into West Central and Southwest Arkansas over
the next few hours. Severe weather is not expected. A half inch to
an inch of rain is possible locally, mainly across southern
LeFlore county.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...High Wind Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

A band of rain and thunderstorms will move into Eastern Oklahoma
mainly after dark on Sunday evening. There is a marginal risk of
severe storms mainly along and west of an Okemah to McAlester to
Hugo line in Southeast Oklahoma. Damaging winds and perhaps some
marginally severe hail would be the main threats.

Storms are expected to form across Northern Texas and into
Southwest/South Central OK Sunday afternoon. Eventually these
storms will grow into lines or clusters and move northeast into
our area Sunday evening. Instability will be marginally supportive
of severe storms.

One to two inches of rainfall is forecast across Southeast
Oklahoma Sunday night into early Monday. The latest data suggests
that the heavier rains will fall south of the Red River however.

Another fast moving storm system is expected to move into the
Plains late in the week. This system will be moisture starved,
however it is expected to produce strong winds. The strong winds
will increase fire weather concerns.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Lacy



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