Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 251634
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1133 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1133 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...

A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
AN UNSTABLE AIR-MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AND A FEW ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AS A
BOUNDARY FROM THIS MORNING CONVECTION BEGINS TO LIFT BACK NORTH AND
BECOME DIFFUSE.

ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE DRY LINE TO OUR WEST
AND EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...THOUGH CONFIDENCE IN
THIS HAPPENING REMAINS LOW. DUE TO THE EXPECTED DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY HOWEVER...ANY STORMS THAT MIGHT OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT WILL POSE A THREAT OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...SUPPORTING PERIODIC CHANCES FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE
WEATHER. HOWEVER...THE FOCUS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER
WILL REMAIN WEST AND NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. A
STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY...RAISING
THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. IN ADDITION...AT LEAST LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE HIGH AMOUNTS OF
MOISTURE AVAILABLE.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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