Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 250942
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
442 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261045-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
442 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE AGAIN TODAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
        RISK...ELEVATED.
        AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL
TEXAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
THIS MORNING. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY TRACK INTO
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON...SPREADING INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE INSTABILITY WILL BE MAXIMIZED.
IN ADDITION...LOCALLY RAINFALL WOULD BE LIKELY IN THE STRONGER STORMS
WHICH WOULD QUICKLY WORSEN ANY ONGOING FLOOD PROBLEMS.  A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
DAY TO DAY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGH
THE WEEK. COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF EXPECTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL BE FURTHER REFINED IN LATER FORECASTS.

WITH LITTLE DAY TO DAY RECOVERY ANTICIPATED WITH THE LARGE STEM
RIVERS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...ANY
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THAT OCCURS IN THE BASINS MOST AT RISK WILL
PROLONG FLOOD ISSUES IN THOSE AREAS.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN PREPARED THIS WEEK FOR MAIN STEM RIVER
FLOODING. ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...SOME
OF WHICH COULD BE SIGNIFICANT.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




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