Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 200948
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
448 AM CDT Mon Mar 20 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
448 AM CDT Mon Mar 20 2017


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma...west central and northwest Arkansas
ONSET...Late morning.

    Area at Greatest Risk...northeast Oklahoma.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...eastern Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This morning.

DISCUSSION...
Even warmer temperatures are expected today...with lower 90s
forecast across parts of northeast Oklahoma.  South to southwest
winds gusting around 25 mph at times will combine with slightly lower
relative humidity values during the afternoon and will create
elevated fire danger...especially across parts of northeast Oklahoma
where the highest temperatures are forecast.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential..Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Fire danger will continue Tuesday across the entire area...ahead
and behind a cold front that will enter northeast Oklahoma during
the afternoon. Despite cooler temperatures behind the
front...gusty north to northeast winds will result in increased
spread rates which will likely create elevated fire danger. Warm
temperatures south of the front along with south to southwest
winds gusting near 20 mph will result in at least a limited fire
danger.

Thunderstorm chances will increase beginning late Tuesday in the
vicinity of the front and continue into Wednesday as the front
begins to lift back to the north.

Chances for widespread shower and thunderstorm activity...along
with severe potential still appear on track for towards the end
of the week. A potent upper system and cold front will sweep
through the area Friday...with a line of storms likely to develop
along the front Friday afternoon and continuing into the evening
as the front moves east of the area. Severe threats and timing of
this system will continue to be refined over the next few days.


weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$


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