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000
FLUS44 KTSA 111815
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
115 PM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
115 PM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
 AREA...ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...AFTER 2 PM.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 2 PM.

DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG A SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. DUE TO THE
COLD TEMPS ALOFT...AN ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL STORM IS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION. STRONG GUSTY WINDS COULD ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
STRONGER ACTIVITY. AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 WILL
HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING THESE ISOLATED STORMS.

WIND GUSTS BEHIND THE FRONT MAY REACH 25 TO 30 MPH AT TIMES OUT OF
THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THRU FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL SET UP OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AS A LEE TROUGH
DEVELOPS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS.

MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE GULF WILL COMBINE WITH A SLOW MOVING AND WEAK
UPPER DISTURBANCE TO PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION FOR THE
MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK. WEAKER THAN NORMAL WIND SHEAR
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WILL PRECLUDE ANY APPRECIABLE RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$