Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 191752
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1252 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1252 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...PRIMARILY NORTHWEST OF A MIAMI TO MCALESTER LINE.
ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON PRIMARILY
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL HOWEVER
THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN VERY LOW.
ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
SOUTHERN KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...AND GRADUALLY SPREAD
EAST AND SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE EVENING.  THESE STORMS HAVE A
HIGHER POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER...AND A FEW
SEVERE STORMS MAY SPREAD INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BEFORE
WEAKENING BY LATE EVENING.  WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PASSES...WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY.  THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
WILL DIMINISH BY THE LATE NIGHT HOURS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING SATURDAY MORNING FROM
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS A COLD
FRONT PUSHES SOUTHWARD.  DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL
FOLLOW THE FRONT AND PREVAIL THROUGH SUNDAY.  A MORE
UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN DEVELOPS FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
WITH DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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