Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 151003
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
503 AM CDT FRI AUG 15 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
502 AM CDT FRI AUG 15 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...TONIGHT.


DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTUBANCE PASSING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS
TONIGHT WILL AID IN PUSHING A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY TOWARDS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. LOW CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
BOUNDARY WILL EXIST TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. LACK OF
SIGNIFICANT FORCING WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE A SEVERE WEATHER RISK.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SMALL UPPER DISTURBANCES WITHIN THE WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
BRUSH THE REGION FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK. ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE PEAK
HEATING HOURS FROM LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. CHANCES FOR
STORMS WILL LESSEN BY LATER IN THE WEEK AS UPPER RIDGING INCREASES
SOME OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$




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