Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 271828
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1230 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281215-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1230 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 10 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
    ONSET....AFTER 10 PM.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA... NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

A LIMITED RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS EXISTS ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AFTER DARK. SEE DISCUSSION BELOW.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE INITIAL BAND OF
PRECIPITATION AS IT MOVES INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER, THE BULK OF THE ACTIVITY WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 10 PM
THIS EVENING. A GRADUAL DESTABILIZATION OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL OCCUR
OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA THRU THE EVENING...AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. THE LATEST SHORT TERM GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TWO DIFFERENT
ZONES OF DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR...ONE CLOSER TO THE FRONT ACROSS
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ANOTHER ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA INTO FAR WESTERN ARKANSAS. WITH MORE THAN SUFFICIENT WIND
SHEAR IN PLACE...THE WEAK INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY BE THE MAIN
LIMITING FACTOR FOR SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL TONIGHT.
NEVERTHELESS...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP...WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS...AS THE ACTIVITY SHOULD
REMAIN ELEVATED.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE IF STORMS CAN TRAIN OVER THE
SAME AREAS AS IS SUGGESTED BY THE LATEST SHORT TERM GUIDANCE.

STRONG SOUTH WINDS...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 30 MPH...WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING EARLY MONDAY MORNING ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. AFTER THE STORMS MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA...THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE MORE QUIET THROUGH THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEK.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY



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