Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 151813
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
113 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-160615-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
113 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3PM.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A COLD FRONT SAGS
SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY OVERNIGHT...CONTINUING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REGION. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION INTO
THURSDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIFTS BACK NORTHWARD TUESDAY AND
WEAK DISTURBANCES WITHIN UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MOVE
THROUGH THE PLAINS.

A MORE DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND...INCREASING
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. TOPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE PACIFIC INTERACTING WITH THIS
SYSTEM COULD CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





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