Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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836
FLUS44 KTSA 301053
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
453 AM CST SAT JAN 30 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
453 AM CST SAT JAN 30 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH NOT AS
STRONG AS THOSE ON FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SIGNIFICANTLY
ABOVE NORMAL AND WITH LOW HUMIDITY...THERE WILL BE A LIMITED FIRE
SPREAD POTENTIAL IN MANY AREAS BY THIS AFTERNOON.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES ON MONDAY WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER
WESTERN OKLAHOMA. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALSO BEGIN TO INCREASE
AROUND THIS TIME AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH INTO THE AREA. RAIN
SHOWERS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. OVERALL...THE FORECAST INSTABILITY
DURING THAT TIME DOES NOT SUPPORT MORE THAN A VERY LIMITED SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT.

COLDER WEATHER WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THE SYSTEM BY MID WEEK...WITH
THE MAJORITY OF WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL REMAINING TO OUR NORTH.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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