Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 241019
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
519 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
519 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016


...INCREASING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TODAY INTO SUNDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 1 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...VERY LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OUT WEST ALONG
AND NEAR A COLD FRONT TODAY. A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE INTO LOCATIONS NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE
44 THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THEN INCREASE
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. BY THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE
FRONT NEARS THE REGION.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THE GREATER POTENTIAL
LOOKS TO BE OVER LOCATIONS NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 WHERE 1 TO
2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS COULD BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
TONIGHT. THIS COULD CREATE SOME LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING
CONDITIONS. ALSO...INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT COULD CREATE A
VERY LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL OF LOCALLY STRONG WINDS MAINLY
NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 ACROSS OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SUNDAY AS THE COLD FRONT
MOVES INTO THE REGION AND CONTINUING SUNDAY NIGHT OVER SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BEFORE THE FRONT EXITS THE REGION.
BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...SMALL CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING OVER PARTS OF THE
REGION BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTS OFF TO
THE EAST. IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE WITH
COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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