Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 181824
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
124 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-190630-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
124 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
 AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE
TO PUSH SOUTHWARD FROM KANSAS AND WEAKEN ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. WARMER TEMPERATURES NEAR THE
RED RIVER COULD ALLOW FOR A THUNDERSTORM TO BECOME STRONG BUT
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE SATURDAY AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSH ACROSS THE PLAINS. TROPICAL
MOISTURE LEFTOVER FROM TROPICAL SYSTEM ODILE IS FORECAST TO MERGE
WITH THE COLD FRONT CREATING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
PARTS OF THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES
LOOK TO TAPER OFF SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT EXITS THE REGION.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN AGAIN BY THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK
AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$






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