Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 232256
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
456 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241130-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
456 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...HEAVY RAIN IMPACTS CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This evening and Tonight.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Along and southeast of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Along and southeast of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Primarily south of Interstate 40.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Widespread rain with scattered thunderstorms will continue
to spread across much of eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas this evening.  An axis of locally heavy rainfall
is likely southeast of Interstate 44, where additional
amounts of one to two inches are possible this evening
and overnight.  These rains will raise the potential for
localized flash flooding.  Additionally, several larger
river basins are currently in flood stage and this
will continue or worsen into Saturday.
The highest coverage of thunderstorms through tonight
is expected to be south of Interstate 40.  Severe
weather is not likely.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms will develop early Saturday morning
across north Texas and spread northeastward through
the day on Saturday.  Widespread rains are again
expected southeast of Interstate 44 and flooding
potential will further increase.  Additionally,
conditions will become more supportive for a
few severe storms across southeast Oklahoma and
west central Arkansas during the early afternoon
hours.  The majority of the showers and thunderstorms
will push further east by Saturday evening, however
any ongoing flooding will continue after the rains
end.
The next storm system is expected to arrive
around the middle of next week which will mark
the return of thunderstorm chances.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$


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