Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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631
FLUS44 KTSA 282148
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
448 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
448 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
NEAR A WARM FRONT AND MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
THE MAIN CONCERN. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS FRIDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL DEVELOP LATER IN
THE DAY TO OUR WEST AND WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SEVERITY AND
TYPE OF SEVERE WEATHER THAT OCCURS WITH THESE STORMS WILL DEPEND
ON HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM FRONT RETREATS. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT...WHILE TORNADOES...
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY. AT THIS TIME...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA HAVE
THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS

IF THE WARM FRONT SETS UP NEAR THE RED RIVER ON FRIDAY...THE SETUP
WOULD FAVOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE
POSSIBLE.

SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY BUT WILL DIMINISH
FROM WEST TO EAST LATER IN THE DAY AS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT SWEEPS
ACROSS THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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