Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 261813
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
112 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
112 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A LOW CHANCE OF ISOLATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BY LATE AFTERNOON...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.

THERE ARE GROWING CONCERNS THAT ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL
DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST...AND
EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE GREATEST
IMPACTS WOULD BE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PERHAPS NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. WHILE DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE A CONCERN...THE GREATEST
THREAT WILL COME FROM ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL. SATURATED GROUND
CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO RAPID WATER RUNOFF AND POTENTIAL FLOODING
FROM ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF THE AREA
TONIGHT...AND WE`RE IN THE PROCESS OF UPDATING AND FINE TUNING THE
FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED FOR LATE AFTERNOON UPDATES TO
THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE IN THE FORECAST EVERY DAY FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE GREATEST THREAT OF STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER WAVE AND SATURDAY
WHEN THE UPPER WAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

UNTIL OUR AREA DRIES OUT...ANY THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER WILL CAUSE
RENEWED FLOODING CONCERNS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$








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