Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 231909
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
109 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-240715-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
109 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2014


...LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MAINLY NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WINTER WEATHER.
SNOW ACCUMULATION.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE EVENING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...MAINLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 69.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW WILL BECOME POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO
THE REGION. TEMPERATURE PROFILES INDICATE PRECIPITATION STARTING
OUT AS LIGHT RAIN AND POSSIBLY MIXING WITH LIGHT SNOW OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. GREATER CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION BECOMING MAINLY LIGHT
SNOW LOOK TO BE ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...WHERE TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE CLOSER TO FREEZING. AT
THIS TIME...MINOR ACCUMULATIONS AND IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED...WITH
PERHAPS UP TOWARD AN INCH OF SNOW POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN LOCATIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...BREEZY WEST TO
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH HAVE BEEN OBSERVED OVER PARTS
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THESE CONDITIONS HAVE CREATED AT LEAST A
LIMITED FIRE WEATHER DANGER...MAINLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 69...WITH
SOME LOCALIZED AREAS OF ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WEST OF HIGHWAY 75.
FIRE DANGERS SHOULD DECREASE THIS EVENING AS PRECIPITATION CHANCES
DEVELOP WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING IN.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
LIGHT SNOW WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF FAR NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH A
LIGHT MIX OF RAIN AND OR SNOW OVER THE REST OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE EXITING THE
REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IN THE WAKE OF THIS DEPARTING
SYSTEM...A RETURN OF GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES
ARE FORECAST FOR CHRISTMAS DAY INTO FRIDAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
ALLOW FOR VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER DANGERS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH ENHANCED FIRE DANGERS NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 44.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOOKS TO MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...WHICH WILL INCREASE
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THE REGION. THE LATEST FORECAST
TEMPERATURE PROFILES WOULD SUGGEST A LIGHT WINTRY MIX ACROSS PARTS
OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY...AND POSSIBLY EXPANDING INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS BY SATURDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS AND IMPACTS
APPEAR MINIMAL AT THIS TIME...BUT THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATES.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





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