Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 102239
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
439 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-111145-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
439 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2017

...ICING AND FLOODING POTENTIAL LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL
AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
 AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
 ONSET...ONGOING...ENDING BY SUNSET.

DISCUSSION...

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND THE AMBIENT DRY AND CURED VEGETATION
FROM THE ONGOING DROUGHT WILL YIELD A LIMITED FIRE DANGER THRU THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. WINDS HAVE BEEN TRENDING LOWER OVER
THE PAST HOUR OR SO...WHICH SUGGESTS THE FIRE SPREAD DANGER IS
DECREASING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL RETURN ON WEDNESDAY...AND WILL
BE STRONGEST IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 40 MPH
RANGE ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THE STRONG WINDS AND DRY CURED VEGETATION WILL YIELD A
LIMITED TO ELEVATED FIRE SPREAD DANGER RISK.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCH RAINS TO
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS BY THE WEEKEND. LOCALLY
HEAVIER RAINS COULD BRING AREAL AND RIVER FLOOD POTENTIAL BY THE
WEEKEND. IN ADDITION, THE SYSTEM WILL INTERACT WITH A SHALLOW
ARCTIC AIRMASS TO BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR ICING. THE LATEST DATA
SUGGEST THAT AREAS NORTH OF I-44...ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTH AND
WEST OF TULSA...STAND THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT
ICING...UP TO AROUND A HALF INCH. THE I-44 CORRIDOR COULD SEE
LIGHT ICING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE RAIN EVENT BEFORE TEMPS RISE
ABOVE FREEZING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENT.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...

THE POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR SOME SIGNIFICANT ICING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BY THE WEEKEND. THERE IS ALSO HIGH
CONFIDENCE THAT HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING WILL AFFECT PARTS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. SIGNIFICANT ICING COULD
BRING LONGER DURATION POWER OUTAGES. CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE
FORECASTS AND EVALUATE FORECAST TRENDS PRIOR TO BEGINNING SHORTER
DURATION PREPARATIONS.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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