Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 161803
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
103 PM CDT WED JUL 16 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
103 PM CDT WED JUL 16 2014

...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY THURSDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE THIS EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...WEST OF HIGHWAY 75.

DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF AN
APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. ADDITIONAL RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING
AND EVENTUALLY INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT WITH THE THREAT FOR
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 75.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND POTENTIALLY PARTS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS THURSDAY
MORNING. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT
CONTINUING THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. 2 TO 5 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS
ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA WHERE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

IN ADDITION A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY ACROSS
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH TO
NEAR THE RED RIVER.

A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAT INDICES TO EXCEED 100 DEGREES
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE BY THIS TIME AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES
JUST NORTH OF THE REGION.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
PERSONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA SHOULD PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL
FLASH FLOODING AND MAIN-STEM RIVER FLOODING THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
PLEASE REFER THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENT /OKCFFATSA/ ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
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