Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 240955
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
455 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
455 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
AN UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA
TODAY. A SMALL COMPLEX OF STORMS OVER SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA EARLY
THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST...POTENTIALLTY AFFECTING
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WITH A LIMITED WIND AND HAIL THREAT
LATER THIS MORNING. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON AS A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER CENTRAL KANSAS MOVES
SOUTHEAST...POTENTIALLY HOLDING TOGETHER INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS COMPLEX OF STORMS MAY ALTERNATELY
REMAIN NORTHEAST OF THE AREA...BUT PUSH AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY INTO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO BECOME A FOCUS FOR DEVELOPMENT. IN EITHER
CASE...THESE STORMS WILL POSE A THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL OR
DAMAGING WINDS ALONG WITH A LIMITED TORNADO THREAT.

ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE DRY
LINE WELL TO OUR WEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENTUALLY INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA LATE THIS EVENING. AT THIS TIME THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
TONIGHT APPEARS LIMITED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...SUPPORTING
PERIODIC CHANCES FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER...THE
FOCUS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN WEST AND
NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY...RAISING THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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