Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 061824
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
124 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
124 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

...DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING LIKELY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OFFER A LIMITED RISK OF HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ANY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

LATE THIS EVENING...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WITH AN ELEVATED
THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE
INTO THE AREA OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN  WILL BE LIKELY  FOR THAT AREA BY DAWN
TUESDAY.   A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TONIGHT
THROUGH 7 PM WEDNESDAY FOR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

IN ADDITION TO THE THUNDERSTORM AND FLASH FLOODING THREATS...
HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON WILL APPROACH OR EXCEED 100 DEGREES
ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
THE HIGHEST VALUES WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WHERE SOME SITES MAY REACH INDICES NEAR 105 DEGREES.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WITH A HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD
POTENTIAL WILL BE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
TUESDAY MORNING...AND WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND PERHAPS INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY THAT WILL AFFECT SOME OF THE SAME
AREAS. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE
FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES FOR NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. LESSER AMOUNTS...1 TO 3 INCHES...ARE PROJECTED FOR
EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND LESS THAN AN
INCH FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL WILL DIMINISH AND THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL RETURN
AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$


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