Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 160949
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
449 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
449 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
        ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT WITH THE THREAT FOR DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...PRIMARILY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 75.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM AND DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA THURSDAY MORNING. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...SPREADING
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THE HEAVY
RAINFALL THREAT WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. 2 TO 5 INCH
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

IN ADDITION A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY ACROSS
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH TO
NEAR THE RED RIVER.

A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAT INDICES TO EXCEED 100 DEGREES
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE BY THIS TIME AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES
JUST NORTH OF THE REGION.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
PERSONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA SHOULD PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL
FLASH FLOODING AND MAIN-STEM RIVER FLOODING THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
PLEASE REFER THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENT /OKCFFATSA/ ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$




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