Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 241102
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
502 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
502 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

...Severe Potential and Flooding Concerns Today...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Southeast Oklahoma into West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid Morning Through Late Afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid Morning Through Late Afternoon.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid morning.

DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to spread back into
Southeast Oklahoma this morning and push across Eastern Oklahoma
and Northwest Arkansas through this afternoon ahead of a cold
front forecast to move through this afternoon and evening.
Instability over the region could allow for a slight risk of
severe weather potential across mainly Southeast Oklahoma and
Northwest Arkansas from the mid morning hours through this
afternoon. Large hail and damaging winds look to be the main
threats...though an isolated tornado potential could also be
possible over far Southeast Oklahoma into West Central Arkansas.
Precipitation chances are forecast to taper off from west to east
this afternoon and look to exit Northwest Arkansas by early
evening.

Also ahead of the front...additional periods of heavy rainfall
over parts of Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas on top of
recent rains will continue to increase flash flooding as well as
river flooding concerns. A flood watch remains in effect through
this afternoon over much of the region.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Recent rains combined with forecast additional rainfall amounts
could continue flooding concerns after the rains end Saturday.
Drier conditions are forecast Sunday into the first part of next
week before thunderstorm chances return mid week as another low
pressure system looks to approach the region.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$



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