Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 221917
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
117 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-230730-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
117 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
               ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED CHANCE OF AN
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN
CHANCES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. GREATER
PRECIPITATION CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO
BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO TREND OVER
THE SAME LOCATIONS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL
AS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SUNDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER LOW
EXITS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND A SECOND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST. A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LOOK TO BECOME POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS
THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. PRECIPITATION SHOULD
TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY EVENING WITH THE EXITING COLD
FRONT. BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS
COULD ALLOW FOR AREAS OF HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER DANGERS ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MONDAY.

UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR A SERIES OF WEAK
COLD FRONTS TO MOVE THROUGH THE PLAINS DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK.
A LACK OF MOISTURE SHOULD KEEP THE FRONTAL PASSAGES DRY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





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