000
FPUS74 KTSA 161827
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
127 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-162000-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
127 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013

.NOW...
AT 1:27 PM...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE SCATTERED SHOWERS
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ALONG THE RED RIVER IN FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. NEW SHOWERS HAD ALSO RECENTLY DEVELOPED FURTHER NORTH
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA IN RESPONSE TO SURFACE HEATING AND
PLENTIFUL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.

THROUGH 3 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE FOR MUCH OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS OF PEAK HEATING. THOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THUS FAR HAS
BEEN CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG THE RED RIVER...CHANCES WILL BE ON
THE INCREASE ELSEWHERE AROUND THE AREA AS SURFACE HEATING
INFLUENCES CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. PASSING LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE
COMMON FOR MOST AFFECTED AREAS...WITH AVERAGE RAINFALL OF UP TO
ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. ANY OF THE STRONGER SHOWERS AND CERTAINLY
ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCUR WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A
PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND A QUICK QUARTER TO HALF
INCH OF RAINFALL.

$$