Short Term Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FPUS74 KTSA 301653
NOWTSA

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1153 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

OKZ054>074-301900-
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-
MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...
BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...
MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER
1153 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.NOW...
AT 11:53 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER PARTS
OF OSAGE COUNTY...WITH OTHER WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FURTHER NORTH AND WEST ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AND SOUTHERN KANSAS. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING VERY SLOWLY
TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. THIS COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND STORMS HAS
PRODUCED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WHICH WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND HAS AT TIMES PROVIDED THE FOCUS FOR
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT.

THROUGH 2:00 PM...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR...
HOWEVER DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY AS WELL. WHILE OVERALL CONVECTION WILL STRUGGLE IN THE
SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...AS THE
AFTERNOON CONTINUES AND INSTABILITY INCREASES WITH DAYTIME HEATING
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN POTENTIAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED. LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL WILL BE COMMON WITH ANY SHOWERS THAT
OCCUR...WITH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES RANGING FROM ONE TENTH UP TO
ONE QUARTER INCH. WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR...HOURLY RAINFALL
RATES OF ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY...AND IN CONJUNCTION WITH
THE SLOW MOVEMENT MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES. BRIEF
GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY WITH THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO REMAIN AWARE
OF THE LIGHTNING DANGERS IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$


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