Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 171022
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
622 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

.DISCUSSION...EASTERN KY WILL REMAIN UNDER ZONAL FLOW...WITH A SERIES
OF SHORTWAVES IMPACTING THE AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS
WILL KEEP A GOOD POOL OF MOISTURE OVER THE REGION...WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE THROUGH
TODAY AND AGAIN TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL OF
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITH THIS PRECIPITATION...WITH STRONG
WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND SMALL HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY
THREATS. EVEN AFTER HIGH PRESSURE TAKES HOLD BY WEDNESDAY...THE GROUND
SHOULD REMAIN MOIST...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED CONVECTIVE
RAINS ON THE DAYS PREVIOUS. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD AS WELL.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-181100-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
622 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....57.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (56700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 - 0.23 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.20 - 0.47 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND.........13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
            DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.26 - 0.68 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE AT NIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5
MPH.

$$
JMW






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