Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FNUS73 KABR 211233
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Victory Unit A...MN DNR
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
733 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light snow will taper off by late this morning.
There will be a lull in precipitation before moderate snow moves
in this evening. East winds shift to the southeast by noon today
and gusts are expected to remain at or below 15 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of snow
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR.................11 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 33.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2200-2900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 (very low).

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........94  94  92  90  87  87  90  94
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                        SN  SN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20
Temp............21  24  25  28  29  31  32  32
RH..............81  65  65  60  58  56  56  58
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.13  12  12  13  12  12  13  12
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Snow.
CWR.................15 percent increasing to 43 percent early in
                    the evening, then increasing to 62 percent
                    early in the evening increasing to 80 percent
                    late in the evening decreasing to 64 percent
                    decreasing to 25 percent overnight.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 22.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 8 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......800-2600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 13 mph becoming around 12 mph after
                    3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 (very low).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........95  97  97  97  97  97  96  96  95  93  92  92
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  50  70  90  100 90  80  50  50  40  30  40
Temp............31  31  29  28  27  27  26  26  26  25  25  25
RH..............63  66  78  85  88  88  92  92  92  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..10  10  9   10  12  12  12  10  10  9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  15  16  16  16  16  16  16  15  14  14  14
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of snow
                    early in the morning, then slight chance of
                    snow early in the morning.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 6 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 32.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1000-4600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (82800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 (very low).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........92  94  95  92  88  86  81  73  65  56  47  38
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............25  25  24  25  26  26  27  28  29  30  31  30
RH..............96  96  96  92  88  88  81  78  69  63  56  55
20 FT wind dir..NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  12  13  13  14  14  14  14  15  14
20 FT wind gust.15  15  16  16  17  17  17  17  17  18  17  16
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  FR

$$
Forecaster...Wise
Requested by...Louise Spiczka
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408056.0/ABR
.DELDT 03/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL louise.spiczka@state.mn.us


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