Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 231925
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
325 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

...Showers and a few thunderstorms into this evening...

.DISCUSSION...

Showers are expected this evening with breezy southwest winds
(any thunderstorm could produce erratic gusts). North to northeast
winds tonight and Wednesday will bring dry, but much colder, air
to the area. Winds will then turn more southerly for Thursday into
Friday ahead of a system (with possible thunderstorms) that is
expected to track into the region for the weekend.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-240830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
325 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered rain
                    showers. Chance of snow showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....24-29.
   24 HR Trend......20 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (231).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....41-46...except 32-37 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........17-22 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 15 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (457).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....23-28...except around 30 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........59-64 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    south after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....53-58...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent...except 30-35 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (373).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-240830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
325 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then chance of snow showers and
                    isolated rain showers.
Min Temperature.....27-32.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 6 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (78).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.12 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....43-48...except 29-34 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......26 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........19-24 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (574).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....24-29.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........62-67 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....52-57...except 39-44 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (370).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-240830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
325 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....24-29...except around 31 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (299).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....43-48...except 31-36 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......22 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........16-21 percent...except 25-30 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 13 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (486).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....23-28...except 36-41 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent drier...except 19 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....53-58...except 39-44 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (375).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-240830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
325 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....27-32.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (256).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....45-50...except 37-42 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........15-20 percent...except 25-30 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 18 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (459).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....24-29.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent drier...except 14 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent...except 32-37 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (437).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-240830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
325 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400Slight chance of snow showers and
                    isolated rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....28-33.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the north
                    after midnight. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (116).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the north
                    around 18 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........16-21 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (517).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....22-27.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (449).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

NSC
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