Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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FNUS71 KBGM 160757
FWSBGM

Spot Forecast for 036 - Cash Pond North 1 & 2...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
357 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure controls the weather pattern today, bringing
seasonable temperatures and dry conditions. Winds will be
generally light today, out of the NW at 8 to 13 mph. Humidity
levels will be quite low, dipping down to 25-30% in the afternoon
hours.The weather pattern changes Wednesday as the next low
pressure system moves into the region, bringing rain showers to
the area Wednesday, Thursday and again Friday afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........25-29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................75 early in the morning increasing to 134 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   3   2   4   7   7   4   5
Weather cov..... None
Weather type.... None
Tstm cov........ None
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............51  54  56  59  62  64  65  64
RH..............52  46  41  36  31  29  27  30
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   10  10  11  12  9
20 FT wind gust.14  16  16  17  16  16  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 4.7 5.4 5.9 6.1 6.4 6.4 5.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.16  18  20  20  20  20  18  17
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............75  100 118 129 132 134 129 112
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 3 to 6 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight, then becoming light after 3 am.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 16 mph shifting to the east around 7
                    mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................78 early in the evening decreasing to 0 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5   3   3   6   6   7   10  11  16  21  28  28
Weather cov..... None
Weather type.... None
Tstm cov........ None
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............61  58  55  50  48  46  44  43  41  41  41  40
RH..............33  39  43  52  56  58  60  62  65  65  65  67
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..9   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.14  12  12  10  10  8   7   6   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.16  14  12  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............78  37  5   0   0   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then rain showers in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................6 percent increasing to 95 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 56-59.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southeast 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 10 mph shifting to the south 13 to 16
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................3 to 40.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........37        74        97        97
Weather cov.....                    CHANCE    DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         10        50        95
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............40        46        53        55
RH..............70        68        66        72
20 FT wind......E 5G6     SE 6G10   S 8G14    S 9G15
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1100      2200      1400
Transport wind..E 7       SE 10     S 15      S 14
LVORI...........3         3         3         3
ADI.............3         19        38        25
Haines index....3         3         3         3

$$
Forecaster...Murphy
Requested by...Brian Williamson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410911.1/BGM
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brianwilli@pa.gov


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