Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
000
FNUS74 KBMX 221229
FWSBMX
Spot Forecast for MLR Stanley Hill...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
729 AM CDT Fri Mar 22 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 CDT on March 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Moisture is gradually increasing ahead of an approaching weather system.
This system will bring increasing rain chances at the wildfire site today
with highest rain chances during the afternoon. 20ft winds will increase
to around 10 to 15 mph from the east. Some showers may continue off and on
during the overnight hours with rain chances decreasing tomorrow morning.
Winds will become northerly overnight as the low pressure system passes by.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely early
in the afternoon, then showers in the
afternoon.
CWR.................60 percent increasing to 90 percent in the
afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 12 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 23 to 26 mph.
Dispersion index....53 decreasing to 42 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........94 100 100
Weather cov.....LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............60 90 90
LAL.............1 1 1
Temp............61 60 60
RH..............67 75 75
20 FT wind......E 12 E 13 E 13
20 FT wind gust.18 18 18
20 FT wind dir..110 100 090
Mix hgt (ft)....2600 2500 2100
Transport wind..SE 23 SE 25 E 26
Dispersion idx..51 55 52
LVORI...........1 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers in the
evening and overnight. Slight chance of
thunderstorms early in the evening. Rain
showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms after 3 am.
CWR.................90 percent decreasing to 60 percent after 3 am.
LAL.................1 until 1900, then 2 until 2200, then 1 until
0400, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph shifting to the north 5
to 6 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 22 mph shifting to the northeast 8
to 12 mph late in the evening, then shifting to
the north 9 to 14 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....31 decreasing to 10.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC
CWR.............90 90 90 90 90 60
LAL.............1 2 1 1 1 2
Temp............59 56 56 55 55 54
RH..............78 90 93 96 96 96
20 FT wind......E 12 E 8 E 7 NE 6 N 5 N 6
20 FT wind gust.18 16 12 8 7 10
20 FT wind dir..080 090 080 050 010 010
Mix hgt (ft)....1200 700 800 700 900 1300
Transport wind..E 22 E 16 E 14 NE 9 NE 8 N 12
Dispersion idx..31 16 15 8 7 10
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 6 5
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms early
in the morning, then chance of rain showers
early in the morning. Slight chance of rain
showers late in the morning.
CWR.................60 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
LAL.................2 until 0700, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 24 mph.
Dispersion index....18 increasing to 30 late in the morning, then
increasing to 62 late in the morning increasing
to 67 late in the afternoon decreasing to 55.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........100 100 94 86 77 67
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
CWR.............60 30 20 20 10 10
LAL.............2 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............54 53 57 61 64 65
RH..............93 96 83 70 58 50
20 FT wind......N 7 N 12 N 13 N 14 N 15 N 13
20 FT wind gust.12 16 19 22 22 21
20 FT wind dir..000 350 350 350 350 350
Mix hgt (ft)....1100 1500 2600 3300 3900 3900
Transport wind..N 15 N 20 N 23 N 24 N 24 N 24
Dispersion idx..13 22 31 61 66 66
LVORI...........5 5 3 3 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...Tyler Coffman
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2408120.1/BMX
.DELDT 03/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0