Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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714
FNUS73 KFGF 131357
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for TNC 3, 4south, 8...NATURE CONSERVANCY
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
857 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure to the north will lead to light and variable winds
across much of the region, but do expect a more consistent wind
near the South Dakota Border due to daytime mixing of winds aloft
with slightly stronger winds aloft. With that said, winds could
still be light and variable at times, but the probability for
that at your burn site is very low. Anticipate wind direction to
fluctuate between north and northeast around 10 mph by early
afternoon. Sunny today (some smoke) with afternoon humidity in the
mid 20s, with a lower probability of lower 20s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy smoke.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North to northeast 5 to 10 mph with gusts
                    up to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....16000 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 52300 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   9   7   5   11  16  17  17  12
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
Temp............51  54  58  61  64  66  67  68  68
RH..............63  57  49  41  34  32  29  26  26
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.8   8   9   12  14  14  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.1 2.7 3.2 4.2 4.7 4.8 5.0 4.9
Mixing wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Mixing wind spd.10  10  10  10  15  15  15  10  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..16  21  27  32  50  51  52  50  44

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy smoke in
                    the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    east overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....42200 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 3400 knot-ft late in the night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........7      10     11     9      12     24
Weather cov.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............69     65     56     51     49     45
RH..............26     28     42     50     56     67
20 ft wind......NE 10  NE 5   NE 5   E 5    E 5    E 10
20 ft wind gust.13     12     9      9      12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....4700   700    500    400    400    400
Mixing wind.....N 10   NE 10  NE 10  E 10   E 10   E 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..42     6      4      4      4      4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southeast 10 to 15 mph shifting to the south
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....3700 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    85100 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........30        26        44        57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............44        54        67        72
RH..............74        60        35        28
20 FT wind......SE 5G11   SE 10G14  SE 10G15  SE 10G16
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1400      3300      4600
Mixing wind.....SE 10     S 15      S 20      S 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4         18        53        79

$$
Forecaster...TG
Requested by...Eric Hoff
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413957.0/FGF
.DELDT 05/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ehoff@tnc.org