Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
626 FNUS52 KILM 140725 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 325 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024 .DISCUSSION... A broad storm system will affect the area through mid week. Dry conditions are expected by late week followed by another unsettled period next weekend. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-142330- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 325 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 100 60 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 4 Max/Min Temp 75 64 85 Min/Max RH (%) 84 99 63 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 7 G21 S 7 G22 SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 12 G26 SW 7 SW 9 G17 Precip Amount 0.92 0.32 0.15 Precip Duration 10 5 5 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0800 1900 71/0900 Dispersion Good Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 1 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 1900 3900 Transport Wind (mph) SE 28 SW 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 53200 62400 ADI Early 42 Gen Good 25 Fair 41 Gen Good ADI Late 46 Gen Good 11 Poor 51 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 6 8 Max LVORI Late 4 7 3 Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 1 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 1 Rain 6 Rain 5 Rain Turner Stability C D B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-142330- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 325 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 100 50 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 5 Max/Min Temp 74 65 84 Min/Max RH (%) 86 100 59 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 S 5 SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 8 G18 SW 5 SW 8 Precip Amount 0.89 0.24 0.11 Precip Duration 11 5 4 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0900 1900 69/0900 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 1 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 1800 4100 Transport Wind (mph) SE 21 W 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37800 61500 ADI Early 33 Fair 25 Fair 34 Fair ADI Late 43 Gen Good 8 Poor 56 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 8 8 Max LVORI Late 4 8 3 Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 4 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 1 Rain 5 Rain 5 Rain Turner Stability C D C Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-142330- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 325 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 100 50 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 4 Max/Min Temp 77 65 86 Min/Max RH (%) 82 100 57 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 G18 SW 5 SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 G19 SW 6 SW 9 Precip Amount 0.81 0.16 0.14 Precip Duration 10 5 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 1900 71/0900 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 1 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 5100 Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 W 20 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37500 102000 ADI Early 34 Fair 26 Fair 59 Gen Good ADI Late 37 Fair 8 Poor 79 Good Max LVORI Early 6 7 8 Max LVORI Late 4 8 3 Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 1 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability C D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-142330- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 325 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 90 50 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 4 Max/Min Temp 77 64 85 Min/Max RH (%) 78 100 55 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 SW 5 SW 9 Precip Amount 0.72 0.19 0.15 Precip Duration 10 5 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/1000 2000 69/0900 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 2800 4900 Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 W 18 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36400 88200 ADI Early 31 Fair 30 Fair 56 Gen Good ADI Late 39 Fair 7 Poor 88 Good Max LVORI Early 8 8 8 Max LVORI Late 4 8 3 Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 7 Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 6 Rain Turner Stability C E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-142330- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 325 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 100 50 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 5 Max/Min Temp 75 65 84 Min/Max RH (%) 85 100 59 Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 SW 5 SW 8 Precip Amount 0.71 0.15 0.12 Precip Duration 10 5 4 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 67/1000 2000 67/0800 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 1 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 2100 4300 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 W 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27300 64500 ADI Early 23 Fair 22 Fair 34 Fair ADI Late 31 Fair 6 Very Poor 53 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 8 8 8 Max LVORI Late 4 8 3 Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability C E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$