Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
248
FNUS73 KLBF 012358
FWSLBF
Spot Forecast for WTREX Niobrara Hazel Rx Burn...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service North Platte NE
658 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact the NWS North Platte office at 308-532-0921 (or
at 1-800-603-3562) if you have any questions or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Rain showers with an embedded thunderstorm or two will continue to
drift across the burn area early this evening, generally
dissipating by 9 PM CDT. East/southeast winds tonight will flip to
west/northwest around sunrise tomorrow. The northwest winds will
also strengthen toward midday with gusts up to 25 mph, then
gradually taper toward sunset. Low clouds will slowly break
through the morning, leading to mainly clear skies around noon.
The sunshine and westerly downslope winds will contribute to
fairly significant drying tomorrow with minimum humidity values
approaching 25%. Recovery tomorrow night should reach around 75%.
Rain chances increase once again Friday morning after sunrise.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest 6 to 15 mph.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 9 mph.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the west 6
to 12 mph early in the morning, then increasing
to 18 to 23 mph in the late morning and
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 6 or very low to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86 78 74 68 62 58 52 40 17 14 11 12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............43 43 45 48 51 54 57 59 60 61 61 62
RH..............100 100 93 83 71 59 49 42 36 32 29 27
20 FT wind dir..S W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..5 6 7 10 12 14 15 15 15 15 14 14
20 FT wind gust.7 7 9 13 20 21 21 22 21 21 21 21
Eye lvl wnd dir.S W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.3 4 4 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 8
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 5 8 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.3 1.3 1.7 2.2 3.2 4.8 5.6 6.8 7.8 8.4 9.2
Transp wind dir.SE W NW W NW NW NW NW W W W W
Transp wind spd.6 6 8 12 18 21 23 21 22 22 21 22
Haines index....3 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 13 mph shifting to the
south 6 to 7 mph in the late evening and
overnight, then shifting to the southwest
around 8 mph after 3 am.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 8 mph decreasing to up
to 6 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
the south around 4 mph in the late evening and
overnight shifting to the southwest around 5
mph after 3 am.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 20 mph decreasing to around 9 mph
early in the evening, then shifting to the
north around 7 mph late in the evening shifting
to the south 6 to 14 mph in the late evening
and overnight.
Haines Index........6 high.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........12 14 13 18 15 13 12 14 16 18 19 22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............62 61 58 54 50 47 45 44 43 41 40 37
RH..............26 27 33 38 44 49 53 55 57 62 62 70
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW W S S S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..13 10 8 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8
20 FT wind gust.20 17 12 9 7 8 9 10 10 12 13 13
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW NW NW W S S S S SW SW SW SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.8 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.12 10 7 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...8.8 6.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W W W N S S S S S S S SW
Transp wind spd.20 16 9 7 6 6 8 10 13 14 14 14
Haines index....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 8 mph shifting to the
north around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
north around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 13 mph shifting to the north 16
to 17 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26 35 43 50 58 65 73 80 83 87 90 91
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
Temp............35 37 41 46 49 52 54 55 55 55 54 53
RH..............75 72 66 60 56 52 48 47 47 49 52 55
20 FT wind dir..SW SW W NW NW NW NW W NW N N N
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 12
20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 12 12 13 14 15 16 17 17 17
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW SW W NW NW NW NW W NW N N N
Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7
Eye lvl wnd gst.7 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.3 2.9 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.4 2.8
Transp wind dir.SW SW W NW NW NW NW W NW N N N
Transp wind spd.13 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 14 16 17 16
Haines index....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4
$$
Forecaster...Snively
Requested by...Lyndsey Lascheck
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412746.5/LBF
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lyndsey.lascheck@tnc.org