Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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Spot Forecast for Kimball/Allen Rx...Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Louisville KY
338 AM EDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION... High pressure will move into the region today and
remain for the next few days. Today, high clouds will stream
overhead. In the afternoon, atmospheric mixing will bring some
momentum aloft to the surface and result in gusty winds up to 20
mph out of the northwest. This mixing will also lead to marginal
dry air mix down, which will bring minimum relative humidity into
the upper 20% range. Deep mixing will lead to excellent smoke
dispersion today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........48 at ignition...Max 57.
RH..................43 percent at ignition...Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 7 to 8
                    mph.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /55200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /80800 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................74 to 103.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........11     13     20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............48     53     56
RH..............43     35     30
20 ft wind......NW 6   NW 6   NW 6
20 ft wind gust.10     13     13
Mix hgt (ft)....4600   5400   6200
Transport wind..N 14   N 15   N 15
LVORI...........1      1      1
ADI.............74     92     103
SDspl kt-ft/100055     70     81

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........Min 35.
RH..................Max 70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 5 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (68800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................90 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........27     16     9      2      1      0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............56     55     49     44     40     38
RH..............29     31     42     54     58     65
20 ft wind......NW 6   NW 6   N 4    N 3    NW 3   W 2
20 ft wind gust.13     8      6      6      5      4
Mix hgt (ft)....5300   2800   1000   200    400    400
Transport wind..N 15   N 13   N 9    N 7    NW 6   W 5
LVORI...........1      2      2      2      3      3
ADI.............90     8      4      3      3      2
SDspl kt-ft/100069     31     8      1      2      1

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
Temperature.........Max 64.
RH..................Min 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to marginal (37900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 53 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........0      1      0      3      2      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............37     37     51     58     62     64
RH..............68     69     48     36     31     30
20 ft wind......W 2    W 2    W 3    W 3    W 4    SW 4
20 ft wind gust.4      4      4      5      5      6
Mix hgt (ft)....100    400    3400   5600   6000   6300
Transport wind..W 5    W 6    W 5    W 5    W 6    SW 7
LVORI...........3      3      2      1      1      1
ADI.............2      6      20     32     42     53
SDspl kt-ft/10000      2      14     22     30     38

$$
Forecaster...SRM
Requested by...Jesse Moore
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411527.0/LMK
.DELDT 04/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jesse_moore@tnc.org


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