Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Louisville, KY
000
FNUS73 KLMK 210738
FWSLMK
Spot Forecast for Kimball/Allen Rx...Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Louisville KY
338 AM EDT Sun Apr 21 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION... High pressure will move into the region today and
remain for the next few days. Today, high clouds will stream
overhead. In the afternoon, atmospheric mixing will bring some
momentum aloft to the surface and result in gusty winds up to 20
mph out of the northwest. This mixing will also lead to marginal
dry air mix down, which will bring minimum relative humidity into
the upper 20% range. Deep mixing will lead to excellent smoke
dispersion today.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........48 at ignition...Max 57.
RH..................43 percent at ignition...Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 6 mph at
ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 7 to 8
mph.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6200 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /55200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
/80800 knot-ft/.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................74 to 103.
TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........11 13 20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............48 53 56
RH..............43 35 30
20 ft wind......NW 6 NW 6 NW 6
20 ft wind gust.10 13 13
Mix hgt (ft)....4600 5400 6200
Transport wind..N 14 N 15 N 15
LVORI...........1 1 1
ADI.............74 92 103
SDspl kt-ft/100055 70 81
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........Min 35.
RH..................Max 70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest
around 5 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (68800 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (1400 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................90 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in
the night.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........27 16 9 2 1 0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............56 55 49 44 40 38
RH..............29 31 42 54 58 65
20 ft wind......NW 6 NW 6 N 4 N 3 NW 3 W 2
20 ft wind gust.13 8 6 6 5 4
Mix hgt (ft)....5300 2800 1000 200 400 400
Transport wind..N 15 N 13 N 9 N 7 NW 6 W 5
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 3 3
ADI.............90 8 4 3 3 2
SDspl kt-ft/100069 31 8 1 2 1
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Areas of frost early in
the morning.
Temperature.........Max 64.
RH..................Min 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to marginal (37900 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 53 in the
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........0 1 0 3 2 2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............37 37 51 58 62 64
RH..............68 69 48 36 31 30
20 ft wind......W 2 W 2 W 3 W 3 W 4 SW 4
20 ft wind gust.4 4 4 5 5 6
Mix hgt (ft)....100 400 3400 5600 6000 6300
Transport wind..W 5 W 6 W 5 W 5 W 6 SW 7
LVORI...........3 3 2 1 1 1
ADI.............2 6 20 32 42 53
SDspl kt-ft/10000 2 14 22 30 38
$$
Forecaster...SRM
Requested by...Jesse Moore
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411527.0/LMK
.DELDT 04/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jesse_moore@tnc.org