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000
FXUS64 KMAF 251819
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
119 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013

.DISCUSSION...
SATELLITE SHOWS SOME CUMULUS DEVELOPING IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
WITH MORE EXPECTED DOWN INTO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON
INTENSIFYING INTO THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE IN
THE MOUNTAINS WITH A CAP IN PLACE OVER THE CENTRAL CWA. THERE MAY
BE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS DEVELOPING IN THE EASTERN BASIN AND
WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL ERODE THE
CAP BUT NOT MUCH ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THERE.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE WARMER AND DRY DUE TO WEAK UPPER
RIDGING/ZONAL FLOW. DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S AND 60S WILL ALLOW FOR
SOME AFTERNOON CUMULUS BOTH DAYS VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS PERHAPS
DEVELOPING IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS OR ALONG THE LEE TROUGH BUT
CHANCES ARE TOO LOW TO WARRANT MENTIONING THUNDER IN THE FORECAST.

TUESDAY AN UPPER TROUGH BEGINS MOVING OUT OF CALIFORNIA BACKING
UPPER WINDS MORE SOUTHWESTERLY AND PULLING DEEPER MOISTURE
FURTHER WEST. WEAK DISTURBANCES AHEAD OF THE TROUGH MAY GET THE
DRYLINE ACTIVE AND HAVE ADDED SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW CHANCE POPS FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WILL KEEP THEM IN THE EAST FOR NOW BUT THIS
MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED WEST TO INCLUDE THE ENTIRE CWA. LOWERING
HEIGHTS WILL ALSO HELP HIGH TEMPS DROP TO NEAR NORMAL.

THE TROUGH PASSES THURSDAY AND ZONAL FLOW ONCE AGAIN WILL BRING A
RETURN OF WARMER TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE END OF NEXT
WEEK.

HENNIG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 67  95  68  97  /  10  10  10  10
BIG SPRING TX              68  93  69  95  /  10  10  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                66  99  65 100  /  20   0  10  10
DRYDEN TX                  69  93  69  94  /  20  10  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           68  96  70  98  /  10  10  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          62  88  62  91  /  20   0  10  10
HOBBS NM                   64  97  65  97  /  20  10  10  10
MARFA TX                   60  90  61  92  /  20  10  10  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    68  94  69  96  /  10  10  10  10
ODESSA TX                  68  94  69  97  /  10  10  10  10
WINK TX                    68  99  70 102  /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

12/10