000
FXUS64 KMAF 130837
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
337 AM CDT MON MAY 13 2013

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AND WARMER TODAY EXCEPT IN THE BIG BEND WHERE AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WILL CAUSE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TOMORROW THE
UPPER LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS WEST TEXAS SPREADING THE
CONVECTION INTO THE TRANS PECOS AND PERMIAN BASIN...UNFORTUNATELY
LIMITED MOISTURE MEANS RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE MODEST.

THURSDAY BEGINS A PERIOD OF ZONAL UPPER LEVEL FLOW AND ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. A DRY
AIRMASS AND 850MB TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S TO NEAR 30C WILL
ALLOW HIGHS TO MOVE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S AREAWIDE WITH TRIPLE
DIGITS IN THE TRANS PECOS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEYS. CANNOT RULE OUT
HIGHS EXCEEDING 100 IN THE PERMIAN BASIN THOUGH WILL NOT BE SO
AGGRESSIVE DUE TO ONLY MODEST WESTERLY DOWNSLOPING FLOW.

HENNIG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 84  58  87  61  /   0   0  10  10
BIG SPRING TX              86  59  86  64  /   0   0  10  20
CARLSBAD NM                85  56  90  62  /   0   0  10  10
DRYDEN TX                  83  61  86  63  /  10   0  30  20
FORT STOCKTON TX           82  60  88  64  /   0   0  30  20
GUADALUPE PASS TX          75  52  78  57  /   0   0  20  10
HOBBS NM                   83  56  86  58  /   0   0  10  10
MARFA TX                   74  51  81  53  /  10  10  30  20
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    84  59  87  63  /   0   0  20  20
ODESSA TX                  84  60  87  63  /   0   0  20  20
WINK TX                    85  60  90  62  /   0   0  20  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

12/10