Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
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564 FXUS62 KMFL 281823 AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 223 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024 ...New LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Monday) Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024 The influence of high pressure remains over South Florida as we enter the work week with surface high pressure remaining situated in the Western Atlantic. This surface high will slowly weaken as low pressure over the central United States dissolves and the combination of that with a weakening surface high will allow windy conditions to slowly subside. Conditions will remain gusty today into tonight and breezy into Monday as well. Other than that, mostly dry weather will continue with isolated Atlantic showers that could overspread the peninsula during peak heating with assistance from sea breezes that could develop in the afternoons. Temperatures will be mostly in the low to mid 80s on Monday, though portions of Southwest Florida could see temperatures rise into the upper 80s. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 203 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Long term begins with mid level ridging over the eastern seaboard gradually migrating into the western Atlantic, while persisting sfc high pressure keeping a relatively stable air mass over Soflo through at least the middle of the work week. As the mid level ridge moves further away from the region, pressure gradients across the area will relax and allow for the breezy periods to subside. Meanwhile, low-lvl winds across SoFlo gradually veer SE by this time, allowing for a very modest moisture advection to briefly raise chances of rain into the teens to low 20s, mainly over the east coast and interior areas. But showers in general will remain very limited through the long term as relatively dry/stable air stays in place. Afternoon high temperatures through Wednesday are expected to reach the low-mid 80s near the coasts, and upper 80s to around 90 inland. Then by the end of the work week, the mid level ridge strengthens and drives high temperatures into the upper 80s near the coasts and low 90s inland. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Generally VFR with a breezy easterly flow. Gusts to around 25-30 kt are possible both around Atlantic showers and outside of convection today. Brief sub-VFR will be possible with showers that directly impact a terminal. && .MARINE... Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Hazardous marine conditions will begin to subside this evening into Monday. Calmer conditions should return by the middle of this week. && .BEACHES... Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024 A high risk for rip currents continues along the Atlantic coast as gusty onshore winds remain in place on Sunday and into Monday. These gusty winds will continue to assist in the potential formation of larger waves in the surf zone up to 7-8 ft, but this risk should lessen by Sunday evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 72 81 73 83 / 20 10 20 20 West Kendall 68 83 69 84 / 20 10 20 20 Opa-Locka 70 83 71 84 / 20 10 20 20 Homestead 71 82 71 83 / 20 10 20 20 Fort Lauderdale 72 80 73 82 / 20 10 20 20 N Ft Lauderdale 71 81 72 82 / 20 10 20 20 Pembroke Pines 71 83 71 85 / 20 10 20 20 West Palm Beach 69 81 70 82 / 20 10 20 20 Boca Raton 71 83 71 83 / 20 10 20 20 Naples 67 87 68 86 / 10 20 20 20 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for FLZ168-172-173. High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ168-172. AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Monday for AMZ630. Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Monday for AMZ650-651-670- 671. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...RAG LONG TERM....17 AVIATION...RAG