400
FNUS72 KMLB 020708
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for SFWMD_Blanket Bay...South Florida Water Management District
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
308 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A few lightning storms will be possible this afternoon into early
evening, as the sea breeze moves inland. However, overall coverage
will be limited by prevailing high pressure. Min RH around 40 percent
through Friday. Very good afternoon dispersion each day. High temperatures
will reach around 90 degrees.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 6 to 12 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 70 early in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4 decreasing to 1 late in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  20  18  22  26  31  31  32  32
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Temp............76  80  84  86  88  90  89  89  88
RH..............76  65  57  51  45  41  42  44  45
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   6   7   8   8   9   10  12  12
20 FT wind gust.                        14  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.8 3.9 5.1 6.4 7.2 6.2 6.6 6.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  12
Dispersion idx..13  24  36  50  63  74  66  63  62
LVORI...........4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....51 decreasing to 7 early in the evening.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 9.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........26     13     14     16     20     23
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............86     78     71     68     65     64
RH..............48     64     87     97     100    100
20 ft wind......E 12   E 10   E 8    E 6    E 5    E 3
20 ft wind gust.16     14
Mix hgt (ft)....4600   800    500    500    400    500
Transport wind..E 13   E 15   E 13   E 10   SE 8   E 7
Dispersion idx..54     10     8      4      4      3
LVORI...........1      3      5      8      9      9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 6 to 12 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 72 early in the afternoon.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........24        25        23        22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         10        10        10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............64        72        85        89
RH..............100       84        51        42
20 FT wind......E 3       E 6       E 9       E 12G16
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1700      4800      6200
Transport wind..E 7       E 8       E 9       E 12
Dispersion idx..3         18        51        59
LVORI...........9         4         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Leahy
Requested by...Andrew West
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412923.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL anwest@sfwmd.gov